Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.569139 11.815805 13.212752 14.906541 16.921582 19.263723 22.224136
2025-04-13 8.638909 10.148339 11.966007 14.354447 17.469921 21.484718 27.205582
2025-04-20 8.298600 10.140338 12.491658 15.798843 20.479518 27.122384 37.792243
2025-04-27 7.722799 9.706974 12.350277 16.263461 22.166810 31.234242 47.398964
2025-05-04 6.960216 8.916868 11.600410 15.718073 22.222083 32.819775 53.323947
2025-05-11 6.609855 8.641650 11.516743 16.105228 23.737822 37.059203 65.543178
2025-05-18 6.159229 8.174752 11.094397 15.895940 24.212689 39.556418 75.267183
2025-05-25 5.779693 7.774097 10.724172 15.709549 24.673956 42.108990 86.256332
2025-06-01 5.480344 7.465171 10.460146 15.656286 25.350701 45.241129 100.314705
2025-06-08 5.142886 7.072551 10.028623 15.261935 25.311119 46.831502 111.041237
2025-06-15 4.918859 6.837084 9.826107 15.241065 25.992041 50.215591 129.506232
2025-06-22 4.603731 6.439637 9.329512 14.637788 25.393406 50.405652 137.337352
2025-06-29 4.284489 6.028970 8.801421 13.961713 24.624521 50.201107 144.651632
2025-07-06 4.022347 5.695793 8.382464 13.453898 24.156466 50.713084 155.745220
2025-07-13 4.096595 5.905211 8.894170 14.770608 27.970311 64.305110 244.584500
2025-07-20 4.016404 5.854648 8.948668 15.193107 29.809743 73.037212 328.254119
2025-07-27 3.805353 5.573629 8.573431 14.697100 29.294453 73.892821 360.379325
2025-08-03 3.732053 5.520307 8.603733 15.049267 31.016541 83.368229 492.741480
2025-08-10 3.589644 5.341117 8.390890 14.858933 31.268248 87.546267 592.053429
2025-08-17 3.460058 5.177527 8.196431 14.689343 31.551088 92.052713 720.578303
2025-08-24 3.354604 5.050628 8.062591 14.640868 32.173251 98.399572 924.101428
2025-08-31 3.217844 4.862688 7.801949 14.281766 31.829629 100.291490 1066.515465
2025-09-07 3.130129 4.757458 7.693729 14.262752 32.508698 107.524724 1425.553411